Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.099010 0.114455 0.131502 0.151715 0.175029 0.201082 0.232414
2025-12-21 0.074705 0.095426 0.120640 0.153580 0.195496 0.247091 0.315494
2025-12-28 0.063654 0.087171 0.117795 0.160601 0.218931 0.295727 0.404699
2026-01-04 0.055288 0.080138 0.114343 0.164863 0.237658 0.338905 0.490758
2026-01-11 0.048875 0.074417 0.111300 0.168443 0.254861 0.380905 0.579243
2026-01-18 0.043281 0.068867 0.107434 0.169798 0.268283 0.418161 0.664356
2026-01-25 0.037962 0.062886 0.101954 0.167649 0.275576 0.446323 0.738022
2026-02-01 0.032914 0.056596 0.095090 0.162208 0.276585 0.464160 0.796471
2026-02-08 0.030189 0.053752 0.093376 0.164843 0.290873 0.504617 0.896381
2026-02-15 0.027520 0.050639 0.090781 0.165532 0.301677 0.540007 0.991060
2026-02-22 0.025438 0.048291 0.089193 0.167702 0.315136 0.581091 1.099953
2026-03-01 0.022849 0.044688 0.084924 0.164421 0.318134 0.603473 1.176533
2026-03-08 0.020689 0.041683 0.081495 0.162457 0.323629 0.631478 1.267883
2026-03-15 0.019239 0.039898 0.080189 0.164456 0.337027 0.675925 1.396497
2026-03-22 0.018543 0.039536 0.081598 0.171974 0.362158 0.745736 1.583640
2026-03-29 0.017593 0.038530 0.081586 0.176537 0.381663 0.806160 1.757944
2026-04-05 0.016657 0.037438 0.081262 0.180370 0.399985 0.865910 1.937261
2026-04-12 0.015596 0.035945 0.079918 0.181821 0.413257 0.916245 2.101443
2026-04-19 0.014332 0.033849 0.077036 0.179520 0.417912 0.948298 2.228105
2026-04-26 0.012931 0.031275 0.072815 0.173694 0.413883 0.960593 2.310660
2026-05-03 0.012278 0.030391 0.072338 0.176516 0.430235 1.020674 2.511858
2026-05-10 0.011540 0.029214 0.071050 0.177253 0.441675 1.070455 2.693656
2026-05-17 0.010960 0.028364 0.070446 0.179577 0.457192 1.131380 2.909357